The global crypto market has recently experienced a downturn, with the market cap dropping 2.91% over the past 24 hours, extending its 7-day decline to 2.38%. This decline comes on the heels of a rally that peaked but ultimately stalled at a critical resistance level, catalyzed by heavy liquidations, technical rejections, and a surge in altcoin selling.
Leveraged Longs Trigger Liquidations
The most significant pressure has arisen from the derivatives markets. Data from CoinGlass indicates that total liquidations ballooned to $111.7 million within 24 hours, with long positions accounting for an overwhelming 94.5% of this total. The open interest in the market saw a notable increase of 14.8%, reaching $906 billion, further amplifying market volatility as margin calls echoed across Bitcoin and Ethereum.
The behavior of funding rates, currently averaging +0.0064%, will be crucial in determining whether another leverage squeeze can be avoided.
Technical Resistance Caps Market
In technical analysis, the total crypto market cap failed to breach the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level at approximately $4.04 trillion. Following a rally that pushed prices to $4.17 trillion last week, a significant rejection occurred, leading to a decline below the 7-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) of $3.96 trillion. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently stands at 55.9, indicating neutral momentum, while the MACD remains bearish with a divergence of -$7.38 billion.
Key support is identified near $3.74 trillion, at the 78.6% Fibonacci level, where buyers may attempt to stabilize the market.
Altcoin Profit-Taking Accelerates
As the major cryptocurrencies retrace, altcoins are experiencing more pronounced losses as traders begin to take profits. Noteworthy declines include:
- PROVE: –8% following airdrops of 15 million tokens hitting exchanges.
- HYPE: –7% after failing to sustain support at the $45 level.
- ZORA: –6.5% as its long/short ratio dropped to 0.87.
This shift in focus towards Bitcoin, which saw its dominance rise to 59.1% (a gain of 0.27%), suggests that capital is flowing out of smaller altcoins.
Outlook
The recent market decline can be viewed as a healthy correction following an overheated rally rather than a fundamental shift in market dynamics. Traders are closely monitoring Bitcoin’s ability to hold the $115K support level as it will influence the near-term direction of the market.
With a 30-day correlation between crypto assets and the Nasdaq at 0.78, Friday’s options expiry could introduce an additional wave of volatility, affecting both digital currencies and tech stocks.