Despite facing bearish pressure, XRP has piqued the interest of analysts like EGRAG Crypto, who recently indicated that higher long-term targets remain plausible when considering XRP’s fractal structure.
XRP’s recent performance reflects broader trends affecting the cryptocurrency market, marked by a persistent decline over several months. The token has experienced a notable drop of 34.53% since August 2025, with three out of four monthly closes showcasing a bearish trend.
XRP Remains Bullish Despite Short-Term Noise
As December unfolds, XRP has seen a further 2.91% drop, signaling the likelihood of a fourth consecutive bearish monthly close. Yet, EGRAG Crypto asserts that this short-term weakness does not undermine XRP’s long-term potential; rather, he suggests its setup points to strength instead of exhaustion. In his recent analysis, EGRAG highlighted a significant fractal developing on XRP’s weekly chart, indicating the token has spent an extended period building a substantial sideways base before recently breaking down.
This behavior, according to EGRAG, is typical of an accumulation phase rather than a topping structure. Presently, XRP is trading around $2.08, just above a critical weekly support level at approximately $2. The analyst insists that as long as XRP maintains this key level, it remains on a bullish trajectory.
XRP Following a Long-Term Fractal
EGRAG’s chart data depicts a large fractal box that symbolizes a past consolidation or accumulation phase followed by a breakout. He notes a yellow outline projecting XRP’s potential path if the current structure behaves similarly. For context, a prior consolidation phase initiated in November 2023 when XRP traded at $0.66, lasting until November 2024. During this stretch, the token fluctuated between $0.4 and $0.6, breaking out in November 2024 and propelling its price above $2.
According to EGRAG, XRP may currently be mirroring this earlier fractal, having completed its accumulation phase within a range of $2 to $3 from January to December 2025. The analyst posits that the next stage is the expansion phase, potentially aligning with what he anticipates as the mid-2025 to 2026 extended crypto cycle. His chart data suggests a projected rally that could push XRP toward the $14.82 to $15.70 range, making targets of $7, $12, and $15 appear reasonable to those who assess XRP’s historical price movements.
To reach the $7 to $15 area, XRP would need a surge between 236% to 621%. EGRAG underlines that XRP often moves rapidly out of prolonged sideways phases, hinting that these price levels could be attained if market momentum returns.
Risks to Consider
Despite EGRAG’s optimistic outlook, he advises traders to be realistic regarding fractal analysis, emphasizing five risks associated with this method. He cautions that markets do not repeat perfectly, allowing traders to potentially force patterns that aren’t applicable. Furthermore, he highlights that liquidity conditions vary from cycle to cycle, macroeconomic events can disrupt expected timings, and an overfocus on targets might distract traders from pivotal structural signals. According to EGRAG, fractals provide a view of possibilities, not certainties, and they inherently carry a bias.
Nevertheless, EGRAG holds that XRP still presents a constructive outlook on longer-term charts. As long as the price stays above the crucial $2 zone, he expects the long-term structure to remain intact, reinforcing his bullish sentiment on the token.
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